\dm_csml_event_details UCL ELLIS

Non- and semi-parametric construction of stationary dependent models


Speaker

Juan Carlos Martinez-Ovando

Affiliation

Banco de México

Date

Thursday, 29 November 2012

Time

13:00-14:30

Location

Zoom

Link

Bedford Way LG04

Event series

Jump Trading/ELLIS CSML Seminar Series

Abstract

In this talk we present a procedure to constructing stationary dependent models based on latent probability measures. The idea focuses in developing first-order dependent models from particular conditional independence structures. We address the idea with the introduction of a fully non-parametric Markov model in discrete time, as well with some other extensions incorporating exogenous interventions and multivariate versions in a semi-parametric setting. We also sketch some ideas to perform inference and predictions within the Bayesian framework.

(Joint work with Stephen G. Walker, U. Kent)

Slides for the talk: PDF

Biography